What past red herrings can tell us about Blue Jays this spring

Baseball

Published 24.02.2023

What past red herrings can tell us about Blue Jays this spring

The Toronto Blue Jays start their spring coaching schedule on Saturday after 140 days with out taking part in a baseball recreation.

Last week on this area we identified just a few issues to search for after they get began, and this week we’re offering a reminder that on the lookout for something in any respect could be a lure.

While there are many instances of big springs foretelling breakout seasons, there are additionally numerous examples of unbelievable or depressing springs which means little or no.

It is baseball’s purple herring season and the Blue Jays have skilled loads of Grapefruit League misdirects lately.

Below you’ll discover a few of the most pertinent examples of spring coaching performances by Blue Jays gamers that appeared vital, however amounted to nothing.

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Russ Adams — 2006

Spring stats: .328/.359/.525 in 63 PA with 2 HR and 4 SB
Regular season stats: .219/.282/.319 in 280 PA with 3 HR and 1 SB (-1.0 fWAR)

What occurred: With the advantage of hindsight it’s simple to say that the spring numbers Adams posted weren’t that spectacular contemplating he walked simply twice and had a BABIP north of .350.

In 2006 these elements weren’t scrutinized as intently, and pleasure constructed round Adams — the crew’s first-round choose in 2002. Adams had regarded good in a 2004 cameo (127 wRC+) earlier than falling again to earth in his first full season in 2005 (86 wRC+).

Heading into 2006, it was extensively believed that he might grow to be a strong starter after taking his lumps the earlier 12 months. Thanks partly to his massive spring, the 24-year-old hit leadoff in 11 of his first 17 video games of the common season.

The marketing campaign was a catastrophe for Adams, who frolicked at Triple-A and acquired moved off of the shortstop place.

After 2006 he earned simply 80 extra plate appearances on the MLB stage.

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Travis Snider — 2009

Spring stats: 381/.400/.698 in 64 PA with 4 HR and 1 SB
Regular season stats: .241/.328/.519 in 280 PA with 9 HR and 1 SB (-0.1 fWAR)

What occurred: Snider’s season wasn’t as brutal because the one Adams endured as his 96 wRC+ was respectable for a 21-year-old.

Even so, it was a disappointment for the Blue Jays and their followers, a lot of whom seen Snider as the way forward for the franchise. The younger slugger had slashed .301/.338/.466 in 24 video games as a 20-year-old in 2008 and a scorching spring advised his first full MLB season was going to be a memorable one.

Instead, Snider tread water on the plate whereas struggling within the discipline and on the bases.

His 28.3 per cent strikeout fee ranked twelfth among the many 320 hitters with 250-plus plate appearances in 2009, and he didn’t compensate with large energy manufacturing. He additionally spent 48 video games at Triple-A — the place, to his credit score, he slashed .337/.431/.663.

Following the 2009 season Snider was nonetheless far too younger to surrender on, but it surely was onerous to see him because the surefire future star he’d gave the impression to be beforehand.

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Randy Ruiz — 2010

Spring stats: .352/.397/.556 in 58 PA with 3 HR and 0 SB
Regular season stats: .150/.150/.275 in 40 PA with 1 HR and 1 SB (-0.1 fWAR)

What occurred: Ruiz made his professional debut in 1999, however he didn’t attain the majors till 2008 — and he didn’t make an affect till a baffling 33-game stretch with the Blue Jays in 2009.

From Aug. 11 to Oct. 4, Ruiz raked as a 31-year-old rookie, slashing .313/.385/.685 with 10 residence runs in simply 130 plate appearances.

During that span his 164 wRC+ ranked eleventh amongst all MLB hitters, just under guys like Prince Fielder and Magglio Ordóñez, and above Joe Mauer and Alex Rodriguez.

While it wasn’t truthful to anticipate Ruiz to grow to be one of many league’s most feared sluggers in 2010, it additionally felt not possible to precisely venture the inexplicable DH. When he put collectively a powerful spring coaching it appeared just like the Blue Jays is likely to be onto one thing.

They weren’t.

Ruiz lasted simply 13 video games in 2010 and his lack of observe report made it simple for Toronto to maneuver on. He signed with the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles in May and proceeded to play world wide, final showing within the Puerto Rican Winter League in 2018-19.

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Marcus Stroman — 2014

Spring stats: 13.09 ERA in 11 IP with 9 Ok and 4 BB
Regular season stats: 3.65 ERA and a pair of.84 FIP in 130.2 IP (3.4 fWAR)

What occurred: The remainder of these tales are about gamers who gentle it up in spring coaching solely to fall flat within the common season, however Stroman did the other.

Stroman entered 2014 with simply 35 professional appearances underneath his belt, none of them coming above the Double-A stage.

His manufacturing was wonderful, however he didn’t enter 2014 trying like a transparent rotation candidate because the crew featured the veteran trio of Mark Buehrle, R.A. Dickey and J.A. Happ — plus Drew Hutchison, Brandon Morrow and Dustin McGowan.

Stroman’s spring coaching work didn’t trigger alarm, but it surely did appear to point that he might use some innings at Triple-A.

Seven begins with Buffalo and a few accidents later, Stroman was on his option to an impressive debut season — the second-best rookie season by a pitcher in Blue Jays franchise historical past by fWAR.

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Francisco Liriano — 2017

Spring stats: 2.00 ERA in 18 IP with 29 Ok and 6 BB
Regular season stats: 5.66 ERA and 4.64 FIP in 97.0 IP (0.8 fWAR)

What occurred: Although Liriano had skilled loads of ups and downs in his profession by 2017, there was loads of optimism surrounding the veteran heading into the season.

After the Blue Jays plucked him from the Pittsburgh Pirates in a buy-low commerce the earlier season, he’d been stellar down the stretch with a 2.92 ERA in 49.1 innings.

Reuniting with battery mate Russell Martin appeared to have reinvigorated him, and his spring numbers popped off the web page — significantly his strikeout totals. Unlike a few of the different gamers on this listing, you couldn’t poke any gap in what he did in his Grapefruit League begins.

Unfortunately for the Blue Jays, it merely didn’t carry over to the common season. His stroll fee surged and his velocity fell to its lowest stage since 2012.

Fortunately for the Blue Jays, they had been capable of transfer Liriano for Nori Aoki and Teoscar Hernández on the commerce deadline.

Not solely did Hernández give Toronto a number of Silver Slugger seasons, however the Liriano commerce tree lives on with the gamers the crew acquired for him this low season — reliever Erik Swanson and pitching prospect Adam Macko.