What options do Blue Jays have in their search for more offence?

Baseball
Published 30.04.2024

TORONTO — For the primary time in slightly greater than three weeks, the Blue Jays scored six runs Monday, and so they wanted each final one on the way in which to a tense 6-5 win over the Royals.

But even after a 12-hit displaying that included three residence runs, the season-long offensive numbers are worrisome. The Blue Jays rank twentieth in baseball in homers, sixteenth in wRC+, and twenty fourth in runs scored.

And but alongside the offence that went 20 consecutive video games with out surpassing 5 runs, there’s a pitching employees that includes some legitimately elite arms. It’s been a bizarre mixture. So, how might the Blue Jays construct on the step they took Monday, rating extra sustainably and help their pitchers higher?

Let’s take a better have a look at some main prospects:

1. Internal enchancment, in the end

Going into the season, the Blue Jays made an enormous guess that their present core would enhance offensively after down years in 2023. Specifically, George Springer, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Alejandro Kirk and Daulton Varsho had been typically talked about by staff resolution makers as gamers able to extra.

A month into the season, Varsho is the one a kind of 4 gamers to indicate significant enchancment on the plate, whereas the opposite three have gone in the wrong way, performing even worse than they did throughout underwhelming 2023 seasons.

Guerrero Jr. did hit two singles of at the very least 112 m.p.h. Monday, however Springer whiffed 3 times en path to a 1-for-5 evening, whereas Kirk was off. The Blue Jays might combine issues up atop the order — bumping Springer from the leadoff spot for somebody like Justin Turner could be a viable selection, as an example — however wherever Springer is hitting, they want his bat. 

Making issues worse, Bo Bichette’s efficiency has additionally regressed, because the shortstop is hitting simply .210 with a .568 OPS to date this 12 months (even on a relaxation day Monday, Bichette labored out within the staff’s batting cages alongside his father, former big-leaguer Dante Bichette).

The easiest path to an offensive turnaround is simple to see. This staff might be rather a lot higher if there’s extra manufacturing from under-performing gamers like Kirk — and much more importantly, the highest three hitters within the batting order: Springer, Guerrero Jr. and Bichette.

More difficult: truly executing the turnaround that so clearly should occur.

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2. Someone emerges from the minors

If the Blue Jays’ high hitters aren’t going to provide at their established ranges, they’ll need assistance from an surprising place or two.

Prospect Addison Barger earned his first big-league hit Monday, however it’s been a quiet begin on the plate. There’s additionally Orelvis Martinez, who’s hitting .300/.364/.622 with seven residence runs by means of 23 video games at triple-A, and Spencer Horwitz, who’s batting .342/.495/.476 with Buffalo. Clearly, these bats have an opportunity to succeed in the big-leagues this summer time.

Who is aware of, Martinez might make an actual distinction and emerge as a pleasing shock, simply as Davis Schneider did a 12 months in the past. Within a 12 months or two, it’s actually cheap to count on somebody like Martinez to make a major impression.

Month to month, although? It’d be reckless to imagine these gamers will drive the offensive turnaround this staff is hoping for. Martinez is 22. Barger is 24. They might have time.

And although there was a degree in March the place it appeared Joey Votto is perhaps the one to supply this offence with an impression bat, the 40-year-old first baseman has missed greater than a month recovering from an ankle harm sustained after his first and solely Grapefruit League at-bat. It could be an amazing story, solely the narrative isn’t near enjoying out how the Blue Jays may need hoped.

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3. Outside assist makes the distinction

All proper, let’s think about some methods the Blue Jays might get exterior assist. Free company? Former Blue Jay Brandon Belt is on the market, however he’s a DH who doesn’t match this roster in any respect proper now. Otherwise there’s not a lot accessible. The draft? Not the place you discover short-term assist.

Of course there are trades, too, however there’s a motive you not often see substantive offers earlier than July: with three-wild card berths accessible in every league, it takes some time earlier than groups are able to admit this isn’t their 12 months. For occasion, it’s not just like the 9-19 Astros are about to begin promoting. 

Simply put, MLB’s present playoff construction is designed to create consumers, not sellers. That means it’s a sellers’ market yearly as sellers wait, holding onto their energy and looking for to maximise their returns. That means consumers should both wait or overpay (generally it finally ends up being each).

Eventually, a handful of groups will promote, in fact. But some potential sellers don’t have that a lot offence to maneuver within the first place (the White Sox come to thoughts) and others are stated to be arduous to take care of (one government believes the Rockies wouldn’t commerce Ryan McMahon, even when they need to). 

Now, there are nonetheless choices on the market, seemingly together with Lane Thomas of the Nationals or Brent Rooker of the A’s or Luis Arraez of the Marlins. Or possibly there’s an under-discussed participant on the market who can do actual harm. But would these bats rework the Toronto offence?

Regardless of these constraints, it’s the job of GM Ross Atkins to get inventive. Maybe there’s a need-for-need commerce to be made, or a buy-low alternative that turns into larger than anticipated. But likelihood is, massive offers must wait some time, which brings us full circle: in Toronto, the most important enhancements seemingly must come from inside.  

Back within the low season, when the Blue Jays first went down that path, viable alternate options had been nonetheless on the market. They might have pursued free brokers or made all method of trades. At this level within the season, nonetheless, these choices are tougher to return by. The Blue Jays have already made their guess. Now they see if it pays off.

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