These 30 prospects will break out in 2023
The MLB Pipeline crew likes to start out every new yr by projecting prospects poised to interrupt out within the upcoming season. Among the candidates from every group whom we highlighted final January, Michael Harris II stood out essentially the most.
After getting off to a powerful begin in Double-A, Harris made the soar to Atlanta in late May and gained the National League Rookie of the Year Award whereas putting thirteenth in MVP balloting. In the previous 40 years, the one rookies age 21 or youthful to prime Harris’ 5.3 WAR (Baseball-Reference model) are Mike Trout (10.5 in 2012) and Julio Rodríguez (6.0 in 2022).
Harris was removed from the one breakout performer whom we recognized. Outfielders Pete Crow-Armstrong (Cubs), Evan Carter (Rangers) and Alex Ramirez (Mets) in addition to catcher Austin Wells (Yankees) jumped onto our Top 100 Prospects record. Drey Jameson, Cal Mitchell, Andre Pallante and Michael Toglia all made their huge league debuts.
Four extra gamers have been concerned in important trades. The Reds acquired right-handers Chase Petty (from the Twins within the Sonny Gray deal in March) and Levi Stoudt (from the Mariners as a part of the Luis Castillo blockbuster in July), in addition to shortstop Victor Acosta from the Padres for Brandon Drury in August. The Orioles landed Seth Johnson from the Rays within the three-team commerce that despatched Trey Mancini to the Astros in August.
Blue Jays: Brandon Barriera, LHP (No. 3)
Toronto developed the blueprint for taking a gifted left-hander to the subsequent stage final yr with Ricky Tiedemann, and will observe an identical path with Barriera, its first-round choose final July. The items are there for the 18-year-old lefty to make the soar — beginning with a fastball that may already contact 96 mph in addition to an above-average slider and a promising changeup. If the Jays can unlock just a little extra velo with Barriera (who appeared motivated by solely going twenty second general within the Draft) as they did with Tiedemann in his first full season, they may have one more Top 100 southpaw on their palms by midseason.
Orioles: Darell Hernaiz, SS (No. 16)
The Orioles’ first three picks from the 2019 Draft — Adley Rutschman, Gunnar Henderson and Kyle Stowers — have already reached the massive leagues. Hernaiz, the fifth-rounder from that class, could possibly be poised to hitch them quickly along with his capacity to play three positions. Just 21 for many of 2023, Hernaiz began tapping into his offensive potential throughout two ranges of A ball in 2022, capped off by a short stint at Double-A on the finish of the yr.
Rays: Junior Caminero, 3B/SS (No. 17)
You may make the case that Caminero has already damaged out. The 19-year-old infielder was acquired from the Guardians for Tobias Myers in what appeared like a minor November 2021 deal. He proceeded to hit .314/.384/.498 in 62 video games between the Florida Complex and South Atlantic Leagues in his first style of stateside ball. With Tampa Bay about to unleash Caminero on a full Minor League season for the primary time, the right-handed slugger, who exhibits nice pullside energy already and a greater Ok price than many his age, may develop into the subsequent huge identify within the Rays system by season’s finish.
Red Sox: Miguel Bleis, OF (No. 5)
Boston’s finest worldwide prospect since Rafael Devers, Bleis signed for $1.5 million out of the Dominican Republic in 2021. A middle fielder with the potential for stable or higher instruments throughout the board, he is prepared for a giant full-season debut after batting .301/.353/.542 with 23 extra-base hits and 18 steals in 40 video games within the Rookie-level Florida Complex League.
Yankees: Everson Pereira, OF (No. 5)
Signed for $1.5 million out of Venezuela as among the best all-around skills within the 2017 worldwide class, Pereira did not play 100 video games in a season till 2022 due to accidents and the pandemic. Coming off a .277/.350/.469 season with 15 homers and 21 steals between High-A and Double-A, he is nonetheless simply 21, presents a stable energy/velocity combo and has the instruments to play wherever within the outfield.
Guardians: Chase DeLauter, OF (No. 7)
No school participant within the 2022 Draft had a greater mixture of instruments, plate self-discipline and manufacturing than DeLauter, who grew to become the primary first-round choose from James Madison when the Guardians drafted him sixteenth general. A .402/.520/.715 hitter in three shortened school seasons earlier than breaking his left foot sliding into second base in April, he’ll make his professional debut in 2023.
Royals: Carter Jensen, C (No. 13)
Pitchers Frank Mozzicato and Ben Kudrna have been greater names as Royals prep picks within the 2021 Draft, however don’t sleep on third-rounder Jensen heading into his second full season. Kansas City officers rave concerning the 19-year-old’s probabilities of turning into a well-rounded backstop, particularly in relation to his energy and arm instruments. Jensen hit 11 homers at Single-A Columbia in 2022, but when he may faucet extra into his pop and double that in yr two whereas persevering with to develop defensively, his path to being a Royals catcher of the long run turns into all of the clearer.
Tigers: Cristian Santana, SS (No. 12)
A well-above-average performer within the Dominican Summer League in 2021, Santana appeared like a possible breakout candidate final yr, however solely hit .215/.379/.366 in 80 video games with Single-A Lakeland. That mentioned, he did make a good quantity of contact and managed greater than his fair proportion of walks in leaping two ranges. The subsequent key shall be including affect to his bat, and that might come as he matures in his age-19 season. Adding even common energy to a possible 55-grade hit device would go a good distance towards giving Santana’s profile the enhance many thought would come early in his profession.
Twins: Emmanuel Rodriguez, OF (No. 3/MLB No. 92)
Yes, he’s already within the Top 100, however we’ve barely begun to see what Rodriguez can do after enjoying simply 47 video games in 2022 earlier than tearing a meniscus in June. A full wholesome season and it’s straightforward to think about Rodriguez leaping into our Top 50.
White Sox: Bryan Ramos, 3B (No. 5)
One of many Cuban prospects in Chicago’s system, Ramos signed for $300,000 in 2018 and batted .266/.338/.455 with 22 homers final yr whereas reaching Double-A at age 20. He makes a whole lot of exhausting contact and will have 20-plus homer energy, although he could also be extra of an outfielder than an infielder.
Angels: Werner Blakely, 3B (No. 15)
The Angels have beloved Blakely’s upside ever since giving him an overslot bonus to signal within the fourth spherical of the 2020 Draft out of the Detroit space highschool ranks. He wants reps, having performed in simply 99 video games after accidents restricted him to 55 in his full-season debut in 2022. Los Angeles thought sufficient of him to ship him from A ball to the Arizona Fall League and thinks he has Top 100 potential if he can keep wholesome.
Astros: Colin Barber, OF (No. 5)
Barber’s mixture of stable energy potential and velocity led to an overslot $1 million bonus as a fourth-rounder in 2019, however the California highschool product has performed simply 110 video games in 4 professional seasons due to accidents and the pandemic. He did bat .298/.408/.450 with seven homers in 66 High-A contests final yr and will take off if he lastly stays wholesome.
Athletics: Brett Harris, 3B (No. 19)
It’s trying like Harris goes to be a lot better than an attention-grabbing senior signal. The 2021 seventh-rounder jumped on the map with a primary full season spent principally at Double-A. His bat is a lot better than anybody anticipated and he may put up some huge numbers in Triple-Some time impacting the massive league lineup sooner or later this season.
Mariners: Michael Arroyo, SS (No. 11)
Signed for $1.375 million final January, Arroyo made a really sturdy first impression with a .941 OPS within the Dominican Summer League. Folks are fairly excited to see what he can do throughout his U.S. debut. Don’t be stunned if he performs his approach to full-season ball in 2023 and begins developing in Top 100 conversations.
Rangers: Luisangel Acuña, SS/2B (No. 7)
Ronald Acuña Jr.’s youthful brother additionally has a wide selection of instruments, together with stable uncooked energy and velocity in addition to high quality glovework at shortstop. Signed for $425,000 out of Venezuela in 2018, he batted .277/.369/.426 with 11 homers and 40 steals in 91 video games between High-A and Double-A, then continued to impress within the Arizona Fall League.
Braves: AJ Smith-Shawver, RHP (No. 6)
Smith-Shawver performed baseball with Bobby Witt Jr. in highschool, but in addition cut up his focus as a respectable D1 quarterback recruit. He’s solely been specializing in baseball just for a short while, however nonetheless managed to strike out 13.5 per 9 in Single-A ball final yr. Look for him to make an enormous leap ahead as he learns to command his arsenal extra persistently.
Marlins: Jose Salas, INF (No. 5)
Salas signed for $2.8 million out of Venezuela in 2019, and youthful brother Ethan may command greater than that this January because the top-rated prospect within the 2023 worldwide class. A switch-hitter with 20-20 upside and the instincts and arm to stay at shortstop, Salas batted .250/.339/.383 with 33 extra-base hits and 33 steals between Single-A and High-A at age 19.
Mets: Jett Williams, SS (No. 5)
New York made noise by grabbing MLB Pipeline’s sixth-ranked Draft prospect Kevin Parada at No. 11 final July. Three picks later, additionally they nabbed Williams (the No. 21 Draft prospect), and whereas he could have had a decrease profile than his new Mets counterpart, some evaluators consider Williams may find yourself being the higher participant. The 19-year-old shortstop already exhibits an excellent really feel to hit and has the plus velocity desired in a sport placing added emphasis on the basepaths. He’ll have an opportunity to make everybody take discover possible beginning at Single-A St. Lucie this spring.
Nationals: T.J. White, OF (No. 21)
We thought White — a fifth-round pick of a South Carolina highschool — had tons of energy to dream on. We additionally thought a excessive strikeout price may get in the way in which of him placing the bat on the ball sufficient to be a stable hitter out of the gate. Instead, he stored the punchouts pretty in verify and completed with a .258/.353/.432 line, 11 homers and 118 wRC+ at Single-A Fredericksburg. Another yr of bodily maturation and expertise could assist these numbers go up much more in his second full season and thrust him much more right into a loaded outfield prospect group alongside Robert Hassell III, Elijah Green and James Wood.
Phillies: Gabriel Rincones Jr., OF (No. 9)
The Phillies’ third-rounder out of Florida Atlantic, Rincones didn’t get the prospect to make his professional debut final summer time due to a minor harm. He posted a 1.110 OPS in his one yr at FAU after transferring from the junior school ranks and he has the prospect to hit for common and energy whereas shifting to the higher ranges shortly.
Brewers: Daniel Guilarte, SS (No. 16)
A left shoulder harm stored Guilarte from enjoying in 2021 after he signed for $1 million out of Venezuela that January. The Brewers nonetheless determined to maneuver him stateside final summer time, and he responded by hitting .306 with a .774 OPS in 36 video games within the Arizona Complex League. Guilarte was already recognized for his all-around athleticism with good velocity and defensive capacity on the six, and comparable offensive outcomes (with perhaps just a little extra energy) would trigger a surge in his profile. Milwaukee proved with Jackson Chourio and Sal Frelick final yr that it is aware of when to get aggressive with gifted prospects, and Guilarte could possibly be subsequent.
Cardinals: Joshua Baez, OF (No. 11)
There’s little doubting the 2021 second-rounder’s expertise. His plus energy helped him put up a max exit velocity of 111.6 mph at Single-A Palm Beach final season. For particular Cardinals context, Nolan Arenado maxed out at 111.4 mph in 2022. However, Baez was restricted to solely 79 FSL plate appearances as a consequence of a left wrist harm that required surgical procedure. A more healthy 2023 will go a good distance towards establishing the 19-year-old outfielder as a Top 10 Cardinals prospect, and that goes double if he can use that enjoying time to work on making extra contact and discovering methods to make use of that prodigious energy.
Cubs: Cade Horton, RHP (No. 4)
The finest school pitcher within the 2022 Draft, Horton missed all of 2021 following Tommy John surgical procedure however got here on late within the spring to push Oklahoma to a second-place end on the College World Series. He reached 98 mph along with his fastball and 90 mph along with his wipeout slider on the CWS, and he may transfer shortly after making his professional debut this yr.
Pirates: Shalin Polanco, OF (No. 25)
You by no means know if/when a really younger worldwide prospect goes to start out figuring issues out. The Pirates gave Polanco $2.35 million to register January 2021 and he confirmed some glimpses of progress throughout his U.S. debut final yr. His instruments are very actual, he improved all summer time lengthy and he may actually take off with a transfer to full-season Bradenton this season.
Reds: Bryce Hubbart, LHP (No. 17)
The Florida State standout went within the third spherical of the 2022 Draft after tremendously enhancing his strike-throwing within the weekend rotation. That offers him a a lot better probability to start out, along with his four-pitch combine and athleticism on the mound pointing to the form of school arm who may transfer shortly.
D-backs: Yu-Min Lin, LHP (No. 15)
Signed for $525,000 out of Chinese Tapei in December 2021, Lin surged out of the gate with a 2.72 ERA and 91 strikeouts in 56 1/3 innings within the ACL and California Leagues in his first stateside season. That restricted enjoying time is likely one of the few issues holding him again from being a much bigger identify proper now. The 5-foot-11 southpaw is a kitchen-sink hurler who can come at hitters with a number of pitches, together with a plus changeup that has already taken off within the execs. Still solely 19, Lin will get an opportunity to construct out his resume with extra innings in 2023, and if he can proceed to control the ball in ways in which frustrate hitters, he’ll make a outstanding spot for himself in Arizona’s future pitching plans.
Dodgers: Dalton Rushing, C (No. 9)
Los Angeles’ best choice (second spherical) within the 2022 Draft, Rushing has energy, persistence and stable arm power. The Louisville product made a spectacular professional debut, hitting .389/.517/.699 with eight homers in 33 contests between three ranges, principally in Single-A.
Giants: Aeverson Arteaga, SS (No. 5)
Known extra for his glove than his bat when signing for $1 million out of Venezuela in 2019, Arteaga has proven 20-20 potential early in his professional profession whereas offering high quality protection at shortstop. After main the Rookie-level Arizona Complex League in RBIs (43) whereas rating second in extra-base hits (22) and complete bases (99) and third in homers (9) in 2021, he batted .270/.345/.431 with 14 homers and 11 steals as a 19-year-old in Single-A.
Padres: Samuel Zavala, OF (No. 4)
A $1.2 million signing out of Venezuela in January 2021, Zavala has confirmed he can hit in every single place he’s performed, together with each complicated leagues and Single-A Lake Elsinore. He produced a .254/.355/.508 line and 15 extra-base hits in his 33 video games with the Storm in his age-17 season final yr, displaying off the sleek left-handed swing that made him a reputation within the first place. That early promising combo of hit device and energy will get a much bigger showcase this summer time, and Zavala may transfer shortly as soon as once more, whether or not he returns to Lake Elsinore or takes one other soar to High-A Fort Wayne.
Rockies: Jaden Hill, RHP (No. 10)
The Rockies took Hill within the second spherical of the 2021 Draft regardless of the actual fact he had undgone Tommy John surgical procedure that spring. They raved about him throughout rehab and he missed bats in his restricted debut final yr. Look for his premium stuff when the gloves to return off just a little bit extra in 2023. He has the prospect to showcase three plus pitches that might overwhelm Minor League hitters.
