Five Phillies predictions for 2023

n”,”providerName”:”Twitter”,”providerUrl”:”https://twitter.com”,”type”:”wealthy”,”width”:550,”__typename”:”ExteriorEmbedContent”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).components.4″:{“information”:{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).components.4.information”,”typename”:”ExteriorEmbedContent”},”type”:”oembed”,”__typename”:”ExteriorEmmattress”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).components.5″:{“content”:”**1. Aaron Nola will sign a contract extension this spring** nThis needs to happen. Nola has been one of baseball’s best pitchers for years. He is fifth within the Majors amongst pitchers with 21.6 WAR (per FanGraphs) since 2018, behind solely Jacob deGrom (25.6), Max Scherzer (25.5), Gerrit Cole (23.2) and Zack Wheeler (22.1). Nobody has thrown more innings (871 2/3) in that span.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6″:{“contentDate”:”2022-10-29T04:40:59.305Z”,”description”:”Aaron Nola allows five earned runs and strikes out five batters across 4 1/3 innings of work in his Game 1 start against the Astros”,”displayAsVideoGif”:false,”duration”:”00:00:58″,”mp4AvcPlayback”:”https://mlb-cuts-diamond.mlb.com/FORGE/2022/2022-10/28/19277ca4-b0cdf733-558071ef-csvm-diamondx64-asset_1280x720_59_4000K.mp4″,”slug”:”aaron-nola-k-s-five-astros”,”source”:”genie”,”tags”:[{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.0″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.1″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.2″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.3″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.4″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.5″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.6″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.7″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.8″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.9″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.10″,”typename”:”Tag”}],”templateUrl”:”https://img.mlbstatic.com/mlb-images/image/upload/{formatInstructions}/mlb/bgk85bdkz3fu7mjwjwgm”,”title”:”Aaron Nola K’s five Astros”,”type”:”video”,”url”:”/video/aaron-nola-k-s-five-astros”,”__typename”:”Video”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.0″:{“slug”:”gamepk-715724″,”title”:”2022/10/28 phi@hou”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.1″:{“slug”:”teamid-143″,”title”:”Philadelphia Phillies”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.2″:{“slug”:”playerid-605400″,”title”:”Aaron Nola”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.3″:{“slug”:”pitching”,”title”:”pitching”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.4″:{“slug”:”highlight-reel-starting-pitching”,”title”:”highlight reel starting pitching”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.5″:{“slug”:”highlight”,”title”:”highlight”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.6″:{“slug”:”postseason”,”title”:”postseason”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.7″:{“slug”:”world-series”,”title”:”World Series”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.8″:{“slug”:”imagen-feed”,”title”:”Imagen feed”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.9″:{“slug”:”international-feed”,”title”:”International Partner feed”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.6.tags.10″:{“slug”:”eclat-feed”,”title”:”Eclat feed”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.7″:{“content”:”Nola’s presence in the rotation is a major reason why the Phillies never pursued deGrom, Justin Verlander or Carlos Rodón this offseason. (They feel they already have two aces, so their money would be better spent elsewhere.) Rodón just got six years, $162 million from the Yankees, however Nola is best and extra dependable. He is six months youthful, too. Pay the person.nn**2. Trea Turner will hit leadoff on Opening Day** nEverybody loves to talk about the lineup, and that talk has picked up since Turner joined the Phillies. Thomson hinted on the Winter Meetings that he may wish to take extra benefit of Kyle Schwarber’s energy whereas Bryce Harper recovers from Tommy John surgical procedure. Turner is the one selection to exchange Schwarber within the leadoff spot. Turner will see the Phillies’ first pitch of the 2023 season on March 30 in Texas, possible in opposition to deGrom.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).components.8″:{“contentDate”:”2022-12-08T22:11:25.073Z”,”description”:”Phillies president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski welcomes Trea Turner and Turner talks about his new contract and becoming a member of the Phillies”,”displayAsVideoGif”:false,”length”:”00:03:03″,”mp4AvcPlayagain”:”https://mlb-cuts-diamond.mlb.com/FORGE/2022/2022-12/08/a0effec8-0f3e7faf-4907e1dd-csvm-diamondx64-asset_1280x720_59_4000K.mp4″,”slug”:”phillies-welcome-trea-turner”,”supply”:”genie”,”tags”:[{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.8.tags.0″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.8.tags.1″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.8.tags.2″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.8.tags.3″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.8.tags.4″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.8.tags.5″,”typename”:”Tag”}],”templateUrl”:”https://img.mlbstatic.com/mlb-images/picture/add/{formatInstructions}/mlb/tx2dnsaapexa1tlll6yu”,”title”:”Phillies welcome Trea Turner “,”type”:”video”,”url”:”/video/phillies-welcome-trea-turner”,”__typename”:”Video”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).components.8.tags.0″:{“slug”:”teamid-143″,”title”:”Philadelphia Phillies”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).components.8.tags.1″:{“slug”:”playerid-607208″,”title”:”Trea Turner”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).components.8.tags.2″:{“slug”:”transactions”,”title”:”transactions”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).components.8.tags.3″:{“slug”:”press-conference”,”title”:”press convention”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).components.8.tags.4″:{“slug”:”interview”,”title”:”interview”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).components.8.tags.5″:{“slug”:”send-to-news-mlb-feed”,”title”:”Send To News MLB feed”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).components.9″:{“content”:”**3. Andrew Painter will finish in the top three for National League Rookie of the Year** nPainter, a right-handed starter, might open the season at Triple-A Lehigh Valley, because the Phillies will be monitoring his workload closely. But MLB Pipeline’s No. 24 prospect might be within the rotation sooner or later, and the prediction right here is that he will live up to the hype.nn**4. Harper will return in June** nThe Phillies said they count on Harper again by the All-Star break, however I consider agent Scott Boras when he mentioned, “Our history with Bryce is that he has super-healing qualities.” Expect Harper again in June.”,”type”:”markdown”,”__typename”:”Markdown”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).components.10″:{“contentDate”:”2022-11-23T23:32:42.664Z”,”description”:”The MLB Tonight crew discusses Bryce Harper’s surgical procedure and restoration”,”displayAsVideoGif”:false,”length”:”00:02:46″,”mp4AvcPlayagain”:”https://mlb-cuts-diamond.mlb.com/FORGE/2022/2022-11/23/06d8f70e-30686027-7ab1269e-csvm-diamondx64-asset_1280x720_59_4000K.mp4″,”slug”:”mlb-tonight-on-harper-s-surgery”,”supply”:”genie”,”tags”:[{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.10.tags.0″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.10.tags.1″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.10.tags.2″,”typename”:”Tag”},{“type”:”id”,”generated”:true,”id”:”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).parts.10.tags.3″,”typename”:”Tag”}],”templateUrl”:”https://img.mlbstatic.com/mlb-images/picture/add/{formatInstructions}/mlb/ns0o8tpdnsarfczlk8ps”,”title”:”MLB Tonight on Harper’s surgical procedure”,”type”:”video”,”url”:”/video/mlb-tonight-on-harper-s-surgery”,”__typename”:”Video”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).components.10.tags.0″:{“slug”:”teamid-143″,”title”:”Philadelphia Phillies”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).components.10.tags.1″:{“slug”:”playerid-547180″,”title”:”Bryce Harper”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).components.10.tags.2″:{“slug”:”mlbn-mlb-tonight”,”title”:”MLB Tonight”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).components.10.tags.3″:{“slug”:”mlb-network”,”title”:”MLB Network”,”__typename”:”Tag”},”$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({“locale”:”en-us”,”slug”:”phillies-predictions-bryce-harper-return-aaron-nola-contract”,”type”:”story”}).components.11″:{“content”:”**5. Rhys Hoskins could have a profession yr** nHoskins might be a free agent after subsequent season, and he’ll benefit from his alternative to determine his market with the most effective yr of his profession. That is saying one thing. Since his debut on Aug. 10, 2017, Hoskins has ranked within the ninetieth percentile amongst certified gamers in on-base proportion (.353), 91st percentile in slugging proportion (.492) and 93rd percentile in OPS 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44 minutes in the past

This story was excerpted from Todd Zolecki’s Phillies Beat publication. To learn the total publication, click on right here. And subscribe to get it often in your inbox.

Happy holidays, everyone.

Remember a yr in the past right now? Almost no person would have picked the Phillies to win the NL pennant in 2022. They had holes in left subject, heart subject and the bullpen. There have been issues about Didi Gregorius at shortstop, Alec Bohm’s future at third base and Joe Girardi’s standing as supervisor.

But the whole lot got here collectively on June 3, when Rob Thomson changed Girardi. Who on this planet would have predicted Thomson managing the Phillies, by the best way? Nobody, not even Thomson.

So with that in thoughts, why not make just a few 2023 predictions for the Phillies? I’m fairly assured no person will ahead me this e-mail in just a few months and inform me how wildly unsuitable I used to be.

1. Aaron Nola will signal a contract extension this spring
This must occur. Nola has been one in every of baseball’s greatest pitchers for years. He is fifth within the Majors amongst pitchers with 21.6 WAR (per FanGraphs) since 2018, behind solely Jacob deGrom (25.6), Max Scherzer (25.5), Gerrit Cole (23.2) and Zack Wheeler (22.1). Nobody has thrown extra innings (871 2/3) in that span.

Nola’s presence within the rotation is a serious purpose why the Phillies by no means pursued deGrom, Justin Verlander or Carlos Rodón this offseason. (They really feel they have already got two aces, so their cash can be higher spent elsewhere.) Rodón simply received six years, $162 million from the Yankees, however Nola is best and extra dependable. He is six months youthful, too. Pay the person.

2. Trea Turner will hit leadoff on Opening Day
Everybody loves to speak concerning the lineup, and that speak has picked up since Turner joined the Phillies. Thomson hinted on the Winter Meetings that he may wish to take extra benefit of Kyle Schwarber’s energy whereas Bryce Harper recovers from Tommy John surgical procedure. Turner is the one selection to exchange Schwarber within the leadoff spot. Turner will see the Phillies’ first pitch of the 2023 season on March 30 in Texas, possible in opposition to deGrom.

3. Andrew Painter will end within the high three for National League Rookie of the Year
Painter, a right-handed starter, may open the season at Triple-A Lehigh Valley, as a result of the Phillies might be monitoring his workload carefully. But MLB Pipeline’s No. 24 prospect might be within the rotation sooner or later, and the prediction right here is that he will stay as much as the hype.

4. Harper will return in June
The Phillies mentioned they count on Harper again by the All-Star break, however I consider agent Scott Boras when he mentioned, “Our history with Bryce is that he has super-healing qualities.” Expect Harper again in June.

5. Rhys Hoskins could have a profession yr
Hoskins might be a free agent after subsequent season, and he’ll benefit from his alternative to determine his market with the most effective yr of his profession. That is saying one thing. Since his debut on Aug. 10, 2017, Hoskins has ranked within the ninetieth percentile amongst certified gamers in on-base proportion (.353), 91st percentile in slugging proportion (.492) and 93rd percentile in OPS (.846).