As trade window closes, Blue Jays’ offensive upgrades must come from within

Baseball

Published 02.08.2023

As trade window closes, Blue Jays’ offensive upgrades must come from within

TORONTO – In a really perfect world, the Blue Jays would have discovered a approach so as to add one other bat forward of Tuesday’s commerce deadline.

Having bolstered their bullpen with Jordan Hicks and added Paul DeJong as shortstop insurance coverage alongside Bo Bichette, they continued to interact with different groups about bats in case there was a match.

But although they mentioned names akin to Teoscar Hernandez (talks didn’t get critical, in keeping with a supply), Mark Canha (the Mets evidently most well-liked the Brewers’ supply) and Randal Grichuk (maybe a clumsy match), the Blue Jays have been by no means particularly shut to creating one other main deal because the 6 p.m. ET / 3 p.m. PT deadline drew nearer.

“Some of the players that were rumoured to be coming our way or even available didn’t seem to be as available to us,” GM Ross Atkins mentioned after the deadline. “Most of the deals today that were available to us were smaller in nature and more roster management.”

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All of which implies the workforce with among the finest pitching staffs within the American League improved its run prevention greater than its capability to attain. (Although DeJong does have 13 homers, he’s right here largely as a result of glove that ranks, in keeping with Baseball Savant, within the 97th percentile for outs above common.)

Now, a run saved is pretty much as good as a run scored, so there’s nothing flawed with bettering your pitching and defence. But best-case situation would have seen the Blue Jays enhance on offence, too. With the deadline behind them, the Blue Jays will now want their current gamers to step up in the event that they’re going to enhance offensively earlier than the top of the yr.

To be honest, that was most likely all the time going to be the case. Even in the event that they’d added a bat – take Tommy Pham, as an example – there’s no evaluating the offence of 1 participant to the potential influence that’s doable from the remainder of the Blue Jays’ roster.

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That’s very true on a workforce with loads of underperforming gamers. Consider how the next Blue Jays have fared in 2023 in comparison with their profession numbers:

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: profession OPS+ getting into 2023: 135; 2023 OPS+: 120; distinction: -15
Cavan Biggio: – profession OPS+ getting into 2023: 104; 2023 OPS+: 88; distinction: -16
Alejandro Kirk: – profession OPS+ getting into 2023: 123; 2023 OPS+: 97; distinction: -26
Daulton Varsho: – profession OPS+ getting into 2023: 104; 2023 OPS+: 76; distinction: -28
Santiago Espinal: – profession OPS+ getting into 2023: 102; 2023 OPS+: 70; distinction: -32
George Springer: – profession OPS+ getting into 2023: 132; 2023 OPS+: 94; distinction: -38

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As the season has progressed, the likes of Guerrero, Biggio and Kirk have all hit higher, closing the gaps between their established ranges of efficiency and their 2023 numbers. Yet for others, it’s gone in the other way.

Springer’s struggles are particularly pronounced within the midst of an 0-for-34 stretch that’s seen his season OPS dip to .695. There have been positives these days, with three hard-hit balls in opposition to the Angels Sunday, however there have additionally been occasions that Springer’s been visibly annoyed on the plate and the outcomes inform an analogous story.

In Year 3 of a six-year, $150-million deal, the 33-year-old is centrally necessary to the Blue Jays’ probabilities. He doesn’t should single-handedly drive their offence, however the Blue Jays will completely want extra from their proper fielder, amongst others.

In the minors, there’s assist out there with Davis Schneider (21 dwelling runs, .982 OPS), Spencer Horwitz (7 dwelling runs, .894 OPS) and Addison Barger (5 dwelling runs, .736 OPS) all candidates to contribute on the big-league degree down the stretch. While addressing the media following the commerce deadline, Atkins recommended the Blue Jays usually tend to flip to their prime triple-A bats than pursue a just lately discarded participant from a distinct group.

“We like our internal options more than some of the DFA’d options,” Atkins mentioned. “But we’ll obviously be open-minded and continue to do our work.”

Making that risk extra practical, Horwitz and Barger are already on the 40-man roster, whereas Barger must be added this winter to guard him from the Rule 5 draft. Plus, because the minor league season involves an in depth on the finish of August, there are developmental benefits available by selling a participant to the majors.

Clearly, nobody’s relying on these minor-leaguers to remodel the Blue Jays’ offence. And, realistically, not one of the deadline acquisitions have been single-handedly going to do this, both. As a lot as one other bat would have helped, there’s a much bigger puzzle to resolve right here, and the answer must come from Blue Jays hitters as a collective.