El Nino is on its way. Here’s what it may mean for Canada – National | 24CA News
The climate phenomenon El Nino could impact Canada’s climate starting this summer time and lasting right through the winter.
Warning Preparedness Meteorologist with Environment Canada, Armel Castellan, stated in a media convention Tuesday that “fairly robust modelling” signifies El Nino will make an affect this 12 months.
“We’ve shifted completely at the equatorial Pacific into El Nino conditions, meaning sea surface temperature anomalies are above normal,” stated Castellan.
“Now, how strong it will be remains to be seen, but it looks to be a fairly strong phenomenon this time around.”
Statistically, he famous, the occasion doesn’t have an effect on Canada’s climate till round Christmas time, when it might convey milder and drier climate for some elements of the nation, and wetter climate for areas farther east.
“Those typically happen between December and the middle of spring,” he stated.
Nevertheless, the situation is starting a month or two earlier this 12 months, in line with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), which “gives it room to grow.” There’s a 56 per cent likelihood will probably be thought-about robust and a 25 per cent likelihood it reaches supersized ranges, local weather scientist Michelle L’Heureux, head of NOAA’s El Nino/La Nina forecast workplace, informed the Associated Press.
During El Nino, winds blowing west alongside the equator decelerate, and heat water is pushed east, creating hotter floor ocean temperatures.
The above-normal sea floor temperatures can shift climate patterns the world over, usually by transferring the paths of storms.
Aside from El Nino’s future affect, Environment Canada is warning Canada will see above-normal temperatures till mid-July because the nation has skilled a record-breaking wildfire season to this point.
“Right now, we won’t have a big influence from El Nino,” stated Castellan. “We have all of the other influences, including climate change and the seasonal projection that really does show these higher probabilities of above seasonal temperatures.”
— with information from the Associated Press and Reuters
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