Handicapping the odds of seven beloved bands reuniting for one last rodeo – National | 24CA News
Before the web, a band may break up, its members retire, and nonetheless be a worthwhile enterprise.
The Beastie Boys, for instance, bought so many information that they might rely on albums like Licensed to Ill and Ill Communication to every promote 1,000,000 or two copies a 12 months. The Doors’ catalogue went gold repeatedly. Same with Led Zeppelin and scores of different heritage acts. All the members needed to do was money fats the royalty cheques that confirmed up within the mailbox like clockwork. It was like having an annuity or an RRSP that paid handsomely and reliably.
Those days are gone. Physical gross sales are a tiny fraction of what they was and that pretty mailbox cash has dried up. Meanwhile, streaming doesn’t pay like bodily gross sales. If you’re an artist of a sure classic, what do you do?
Two choices: (1) Sell your catalogue to an organization like Hipgnosis Song Fund, Primary Wave, or the handfuls of different entities shopping for up the publishing rights of profitable composers. And (2), get the band again collectively, go on tour, and prime up the retirement fund for everybody concerned.
There’s some huge cash to be made in taking nostalgia on the highway. Anytime Bruce Springsteen regroups with the E Street Band, that’s good for an additional couple hundred million. Even although solely 60 per cent of the traditional lineup is collaborating, Guns N’ Roses proceed to rake in money that began with the Not in This Lifetime tour in 2016. By the time the present world highway journey ends later this 12 months, the band could have raked in a gross someplace round US$1 billion since that reunion. And The Rolling Stones have grossed over US$1.2 billion this century alone. Even the demise of founding member Charlie Watts hasn’t slowed them down.
Amphitheatres and arenas have to be crammed. Boomers and Zoomers have proven that they’re ready to half with their cash to relive their youth. Younger folks consumed with FOMO need to see these nice acts earlier than too a lot of them die off. Promoters are keen to supply heritage bands candy ensures if they may get again collectively.
These teams are on so many want lists. What are the possibilities of them placing apart any previous variations or reservations for yet one more go-round?
1. Oasis
Oasis broke up and reconciled half a dozen occasions between 1994 and 2009 earlier than Noel Gallagher walked out for good simply earlier than the band went onstage for the Rock En Seine pageant in Paris on Aug. 28, 2009. The final straw got here when Liam threw a plum at his brother backstage (he missed). Since that splat, Liam and Noel have been chirping at one another, a lot to the chagrin of their mom, Peggy, who actually desires her boys to make up whereas she’s nonetheless alive.
Every six months or so, tales floor — normally from a less-than-reputable U.Ok. tabloid — a couple of potential reunion. We’re within the midst of such a foolish season proper now. But to some, this spherical of rumours feels totally different. Peggy Gallagher is getting previous. Noel continues to see loads of songwriting royalties however his marriage to Sara MacDonald has ended after 22 years. That’s going to price him. Liam doesn’t see a lot in the way in which of royalties from Oasis (at the very least in comparison with Noel) and whereas his present solo profession pays superb, it’s not Oasis cash.
While Liam has been periodically up for a reunion, Noel has remained towards it. Then once more, in 2021, he publicly acknowledged that he’d reform the band for £100 million. Then once more, he dropped that value final week to £8 million “delivered in an Adidas bag.” And recently, I get the sensation that he is likely to be leaning in the direction of … one thing. These newest rounds of rumours say that dates are already being organized for 4 nights at Knebworth in June 2025 (sure, two years from now). There are additionally rumours a couple of hometown gig being deliberate for Etihad Stadium in Manchester. So is that this for actual?
Odds of a reunion: 25-75 at greatest. I’ll imagine it once I see each brother step onstage and begin taking part in.
2. The Sex Pistols
Back in 1995, they did it for the cash with the aptly-named Filthy Lucre Tour, reconciling (barely) for the primary time since January 1978. Since then, Johnny Lydon has maintained an excellent distance from Steve Jones, Paul Cook, and Glen Matlock, often battling them in court docket over one factor or one other.
Then once more, Johnny says he’s now “seriously in a state of financial ruin.” Touring has been powerful for him as a result of he was a relentless caregiver to his spouse Nora who suffered from dementia. But now that she’s gone — she died on April 6 — possibly Johnny will need to depart the home. Then once more, Nora was the heiress to a German publishing fortune, so…
Odds: 10 per cent at greatest. The animosity runs fairly deep.
3. The Jam
The Jam was some of the profitable English singles bands of the Eighties and singlehandedly made being a Mod a factor once more. But in 1982, Paul Weller bailed and has since labored principally as a solo artist. Meanwhile, Bruce Foxton and Rick Buckler have caught collectively, performing Jam songs however remained estranged from Weller, apparently not even talking for 20 years. There was a thaw between 2006 and 2009 which resulted in Foxton showing with Weller on his albums and even onstage at the very least as soon as.
Odds: Zero. If it hasn’t occurred by now, it’s not going to occur.
4. Talking Heads
Talking Heads by no means actually formally broke up. They simply sort of light away after their 1988 album, Naked. There was no announcement, no farewell. David Byrne went off on a world music jag earlier than stepping into stage productions and writing books. Chris Franz and Tina Weymouth had the Tom Tom Club and their producing gigs. Jerry Harrison has been busy producing information for different folks.
Few bands achieved such creative quirkiness. Would they be excited about revisiting that? I don’t get the sense that Byrne does. Franz suffered a coronary heart assault in 2020 and now has three stents. Then each he and Tina had been in a nasty automotive crash with a drunk driver in 2022. Harrison is completely satisfied along with his spouse in Mill Valley, Calif.
Odds: Zero. There was a buzz about one thing within the spring of 2016, however nothing got here of it. As a lot enjoyable as a Talking Heads reunion could be, all of it hinges on Byrne. He’s by no means been a man who seems again.
5. R.E.M.
Michael Stipe, Mike Mills, and Peter Buck stored the lights on after authentic drummer Bill Berry retired in 1997 to turn into a hay farmer exterior of Athens, Ga. But in 2011, they realized that it was time to hold issues up. Stipe bought deeper into images and activism. Both Mills and Buck proceed making music on their very own with mates. Berry continues to farm however in 2022 dug out his drums to play in a band referred to as The Bad Ends.
I’m undecided how effectively R.E.M.’s again catalogue is doing by way of producing earnings. Where, for instance, are all the large expansive field units like we’ve seen from a few of their contemporaries? A reunion tour might be their greatest path to topping up the financial institution accounts.
Odds: Close to zero. I quote Michael Stipe: “We decided when we split up that that would just be really tacky and probably money-grabbing, which might be the impetus for a lot of bands to get back together.”
6. The White Stripes
Jack White’s solo profession is doing effectively. Money retains rolling in from using Seven Nation Army everywhere in the world. And as an entrepreneur, he’s additionally simply superb. Meg White, nevertheless, was at all times a shy and really reluctant rock star. Nothing a lot has been heard from her for the reason that band’s breakup in 2011.
Odds: Zero. In truth, lower than zero. Jack is okay (“Absolutely no chance,” he instructed The NME in 2012) and Meg is the introvert’s introvert. As far as anybody is aware of, the 2 haven’t been in common contact for years. And regardless of critical makes an attempt to trace her down for an interview, she’s refused all requests with Elle journal being not too long ago disenchanted.
7. The Smiths
The band’s well-known Morrissey-Marr nexus fractured spectacularly within the fall of 1987. Since then, many, many efforts have been made to place the items of the Smiths collectively once more, together with a rumoured provide US$75 million to play Coachella. No one took that bait.
Odds: So a lot lower than zero that you simply’d have a greater probability of calculating the sq. root of -2. Given Morrissey’s mercurial disagreeableness, who would underwrite such a factor?
—
Alan Cross is a broadcaster with Q107 and 102.1 the Edge and a commentator for Global News.
Subscribe to Alan’s Ongoing History of New Music Podcast now on Apple Podcast or Google Play
