Bundesliga weekend preview: Can Dortmund topple Bayern’s decade of dominance?

Football
Published 25.05.2023
Bundesliga weekend preview: Can Dortmund topple Bayern’s decade of dominance?

It’s come all the way down to the wire within the 2022-23 Bundesliga season. 

Top European golf equipment Manchester City, FC Barcelona and Napoli already wrapped issues up by successful league championships with video games to spare of their respective campaigns. But the Bundesliga title has but to be determined going into Saturday’s ultimate day of the season, as bitter rivals Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund have been battling it out in one of many closest title races in European membership soccer this season. 

Can Bayern win an eleventh Bundesliga championship in a row? Or will Dortmund finish their rival’s decade of dominance?

Here’s what you want to find out about this weekend’s Bundesliga finale.

You can watch Borussia Dortmund tackle Mainz 05 on Sportsnet at 9:30 a.m. ET / 6:30 a.m. PT and Bayern Munich in opposition to 1. FC Köln on Sportsnet360 or Sportsnet World at 9:30 a.m. ET / 6:30 a.m. PT

Setting the stage for the ultimate matchday

With the Bundesliga’s finest assault (90 targets for) and defence (37 targets in opposition to), and boasting the league’s costliest roster, Bayern Munich appeared poised to clinch a report eleventh consecutive German title because the season entered the house stretch. 

But Borussia Dortmund saved inside touching distance of the Bavarian rivals earlier than overtaking them for first place per week in the past. Bayern took a 1-0 lead over RB Leipzig within the first half final Saturday, solely to then cough up a trio of targets within the ultimate 25 minutes en path to a surprising 3-1 defeat. It was Bayern’s first residence lack of the season. 

The subsequent day, Borussia Dortmund recorded a 3-0 win away to Augsburg. As a end result, Dortmund sits atop the Bundesliga standings with 70 factors – two greater than Bayern Munich – forward of Saturday when all matches throughout the league kick off at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Things may have been a lot completely different for Bayern had it held its nerve. Top of the desk on the Christmas break and on the midway level of the marketing campaign, Bayern controversially fired supervisor Julian Nagelsmann on March 24 after a patchy run of type that noticed the membership drop out of first place. Replacement Thomas Tuchel guided the Bavarians to an essential win over Dortmund on April 1 in his first sport in cost and the membership finally climbed again into the highest spot.  

A draw in opposition to Hoffenheim and a loss to Mainz in back-to-back video games in mid-April proved to be a bump within the highway earlier than Bayern recovered beneath Tuchel’s steerage to win three in a row. But final week’s defeat by the hands of Leipzig opened the door for Dortmund to overhaul the Bavarians, and it now has the benefit going into this ultimate weekend. 

The clinching eventualities for each golf equipment 

Borussia Dortmund is within the driver’s seat. A win at residence over FSV Mainz 05 (presently in ninth place) would seal the primary Bundesliga championship for Dortmund since 2012 and finish Bayern’s decade in energy. A draw in opposition to Mainz may additionally be adequate for Dortmund, offered Bayern doesn’t win its match on Saturday. 

 Bayern will shut out the season on the highway in opposition to FC Köln, who sits tenth within the standings. A win in opposition to Cologne is an absolute should for Bayern, but it surely additionally wants Dortmund to lose to Mainz. A draw by Dortmund would even be adequate for Bayern if it beats Cologne. In that case, each Bayern and Dortmund could be tied on 71 factors, however based mostly on a superior aim distinction (plus-59 to plus-39), which is the primary tiebreaker, the title would stay with the Bavarians. 

In their earlier league assembly this season, Bayern settled for a 1-1 draw vs. FC Köln at residence on Jan 24. The subsequent day, Dortmund earned a 2-1 highway win in opposition to Mainz of their final encounter in opposition to one another. 

Who has the sting: Dortmund or Bayern? 

Borussia Dortmund controls its destiny going into the ultimate matchday of the season, figuring out {that a} win over Mainz will safe their ninth German league title in membership historical past, irrespective of how Bayern fares. 

Beyond that, Die Schwarzgelben (The Black and Yellows) have a determined edge over their Bavarian counterparts. Dortmund has been the perfect staff within the Bundesliga since Jan. 22, successful 14 of its 18 video games (with just one loss). They’ve additionally received three in a row and are unbeaten of their earlier seven outings (with 5 wins).

Compare that to Bayern, who for the reason that winter break have misplaced 4 occasions and have 4 fewer wins than Dortmund. 

What a Dortmund win would imply for the Bundesliga 

You need to imagine that the majority neutrals are cheering for Borussia Dortmund on Saturday. A win by the Yellow Submarine would loosen Bayern’s vice-like grip on the championship, and inject some much-needed intrigue into the Bundesliga going ahead. 

Bayern has received 10 consecutive German league crowns, which has rendered the Bundesliga title race unbearably predictable for the previous decade. On common, Bayern received the German championship by 14 factors over the second-place staff throughout that span. Only as soon as within the earlier 10 years was the title race ever shut – in 2018-19 when Bayern clinched it on the ultimate day of the season by two factors over Dortmund.  

Players to observe this weekend 

Forward Donyell Malen has been on a little bit of a tear in current weeks for Dortmund. The 24-year-old from the Netherlands has scored in seven of his membership’s final 9 video games, tallying eight targets over that run. Likewise, French striker Sébastien Haller is driving a three-game scoring streak going into this weekend and has bagged a brace in every of his final two outings. Bayern winger Serge Gnabry is tied for second place within the Bundesliga scoring race with 14 targets, with 5 of them coming in Bayern’s final 4 video games. 

No Alphonso Davies for Bayern on Saturday 

Canadian soccer followers who’ll be tuning on this weekend to catch a glimpse of Alphonso Davies might be dissatisfied. The Canadian winger/fullback has been sidelined with a thigh muscle damage that he suffered in a sport in opposition to Mainz on April 22. Davies has missed all 4 of Bayern’s subsequent matches and might be watching from the sidelines on Saturday. 

Davies, a 22-year-old native of Edmonton, had three targets and eight assists for Bayern in 38 video games in all competitions earlier than the damage. Two weeks in the past, he was voted onto the Bundesliga staff of the season. 

Davies is beneath contract to Bayern till the tip of the 2025 season, however the Bundesliga giants are actively attempting to signal him to an extension that might tie him to the membership for an additional two years. Bayern’s makes an attempt to increase the deal comes amidst experiences that Real Madrid is mounting a switch transfer for the Canadian. 

The relegation battle 

The championship title isn’t the one matter to be selected Saturday. We’ll additionally discover out which golf equipment might be relegated subsequent season to the German second division, generally known as 2. Bundesliga. 

With solely 26 factors going into the ultimate week, Hertha Berlin is assured of ending in final place within the 18-team desk. Four different golf equipment are within the combine to affix them: Augsburg (34 factors), VfB Stuttgart and VfL Bochum (each 32) and Schalke (31). 

Both Bochum (vs. Bayer Leverkusen) and Stuttgart (vs. Hoffenheim) are at residence on Saturday, whereas Augsburg (vs. Borussia Monchengladbach) and Schalke (vs. RB Leipzig) are on the highway. Of the 4 relegation contenders, Schalke has the hardest task in opposition to third-place Leipzig. 

Aside from Hertha, one different staff might be formally relegated from the Bundesliga by the tip of this weekend. The Sixteenth-place staff might be compelled right into a two-legged playoff vs. the third-best staff from the second division (which might be both Heidenheim or Hamburg), with the winner incomes a spot within the Bundesliga subsequent season. 

John Molinaro is likely one of the main soccer journalists in Canada, having lined the sport for over 20 years for a number of media retailers, together with Sportsnet, CBC Sports and Sun Media. He is presently the editor-in-chief of TFC Republic, an internet site devoted to in-depth protection of Toronto FC and Canadian soccer. TFC Republic will be discovered right here.