Blackmon eyeing big 2023 after rules shift
DENVER — This offseason is the proper time to take away a priority from Rockies designated hitter and outfielder Charlie Blackmon’s checklist.
At the tip of final season, Blackmon, 36, had arthroscopic surgical procedure to restore the meniscus in his left knee. He and his spouse, Ashley, additionally welcomed their second baby, Wyatt, to workforce with their daughter, 2-year-old Josie. Rehabbing Blackmon’s harm, it turned out, was easy — it has not slowed his preparation for 2023. Finding sleep? Not a lot.
But when the zzz’s do come, Blackmon can relaxation simpler now that MLB has banned the infield shift — which has been an more and more efficient solution to mute the veteran’s effectiveness. So add Blackmon to the checklist of gamers across the recreation who may gain advantage from the shift ban.
“I’ll spend less time on the beat-the-shift approach,” Blackmon mentioned. “Whatever you decide to do. Some guys don’t do anything, and I’d rather not do anything but just hit. Occasionally, there are situations where you try to do something different to try to beat the shift — maybe bunt, maybe hit one the other way. I don’t have to do that anymore.”
According to Sarah Thompson, analysis and improvement analyst for Sports Info Solutions, which has compiled and analyzed baseball in any respect ranges:
• Since SIS started monitoring shifts in 2010, Blackmon ranks thirteenth in estimated hits misplaced to the shift with 135. This quantity consists of full shifts (three gamers on the second-base facet) and partial shifts (with gamers far sufficient out of conventional positioning to make it notable).
• Blackmon misplaced 38 hits to the shift in 2022, second solely to the Rangers’ Corey Seager.
• In 2021-22, the 69 hits Blackmon misplaced got here in second to present Dodger Freddie Freeman. Blackmon ranks fourth in hits the shift value from 2019-22.
There is a flip facet, although. According to SIS, Blackmon has “gained” an estimated 118 hits — tops amongst Rockies and sixth amongst all gamers. But the “just hit it the other way” retort doesn’t give justice to elements of the shift that depress offense.
In his greatest years (2016-19), Blackmon homered 29-37 instances and doubled 31-42 instances. He is the Rockies’ profession chief in triples, with 58.
Giving away at-bats to the shift robs Blackmon and the Rockies of his slugging and run manufacturing. And hits “gained” won’t be features in any respect.
“For every successful hit the other way, you hit, like, two into the shift,” Blackmon mentioned. “The shift is obviously very effective. That’s why they do it; it definitely hurts you. There are times you try to beat the shift, and you don’t. You sell out to hit one the other way, you try to bunt, or you change something from what you normally do. Sometimes it works, but oftentimes it doesn’t.”
Even with the shift no extra, Blackmon should regain and keep his well being, his consistency and his greatest swing.
Blackmon’s .316 weighted on-base common towards the shift almost matched his .317 in non-shift at-bats, which usually occurred with runners on base and fewer than two strikes. His batting common with out the shift was a lot increased (.299 vs. .250) however towards the shift, he struck out at a decrease price (15 % vs. 20 %) and slugged increased (.424 vs. .401).
Blackmon noticed encouraging indicators final season, and components such because the shift and what he feels had been adjustments in baseball shouldn’t be annoyances. By the All-Star break he had 14 house runs (yet one more than throughout a disappointing 2021) and an .802 OPS. But he had simply two homers within the second half.
“I think I played pretty well in the first half of last year, and I think I can do it again,” Blackmon mentioned. “And I think I can do that for the whole season.”
The Rockies will want Blackmon to reverse the decline of the previous two seasons. Top outfield prospects are on the way in which, however mainstays might want to rebound this yr. Also, Colorado’s efforts to acquire a middle fielder and true leadoff man fizzled, so Blackmon could also be again on the high of the order.
Blackmon exercised a $15 million participant choice for 2023, the ultimate yr of a contract he signed at the start of the ’18 season. Beyond that? It’s just like the shift: Blackmon isn’t involved about it.
“I pretty much take it year-to-year,” Blackmon mentioned. “Most guys typically do not know after they’ll play their final recreation, so I’m not going to be ignorant and assume that I’m going to play eternally. I positively wish to play this yr, and hopefully, I’ve a great expertise if I’m productive and wholesome. I’m actually centered on 2023 for the Rockies proper now.”
